Stratfor argues that:
Politics and moral arguments aside, the end effect of the memos’ release is
that people who have put their lives on the line in U.S. counterterrorism
efforts are now uncertain of whether they should be making that sacrifice. Many
of these people are now questioning whether the administration that happens to
be in power at any given time will recognize the fact that they were carrying
out lawful orders under a previous administration. It is hard to retain officers
and attract quality recruits in this kind of environment. It has become safer to
work in programs other than counterterrorism.The memos’ release will not have a catastrophic effect on U.S. counterterrorism efforts. Indeed, most of the information in the memos was leaked to the press years ago and has long been public knowledge. However, when the release of the memos is examined in a wider context, and combined with a few other dynamics, it appears that the U.S. counterterrorism community is quietly slipping back into an atmosphere of risk-aversion and malaise — an atmosphere not dissimilar to that described by the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States (also known as the 9/11 Commission) as a contributing factor to the intelligence failures that led to the 9/11 attacks.
Obama now says that he won't prosecute the CIA officer who questioned Khalid Sheikh Mohammed. What will he say tomorrow or what will his Justice Department do if Congressional Democrats continue to demand prosecutions?
Furthermore, what conduct by the CIA will the next administration find to be criminal that is approved by the present administration?
Perhaps the most telling evidence presented in the article is this:
Over the past few years, there has been a dramatic increase in the number of
CIA case officers who are choosing to carry personal liability insurance because
they do not trust the agency and the U.S. government to look out for their best
interests.
Even before the present Obama administration threat to prosecute CIA actions in the War on Terror, case officers lacked confidence in their own government to defend them.
Why will intelligent people risk their lives and careers in defending this country when a change in administration may mean their prosecution and imprisonment?